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Lukas Fierz's avatar

Hi Ugo, me here again. Also I during this summer read Tolstoi to understand the Russian soul. When in 2015 Syrian refugees flooded Europe I tried to understand and read Tim Marshalls enlightening book "Prisoners of Geography". He has also a chapter on Russia where he advises to forget about Putin and ask ourselves what ordinary Russian people expect from their leader:

The way from Hamburg to Berlin and to Moscow is flat open country without any topographical barriers. Of this fact Western neighbours regularly took advantage by invading: In the 17.century the Swedes, in the 18th the Poles, in the 19th Napoleon and in the 20th century Hitler. If one includes the minor incursions (Crimea etc.) Marshall counts about one invasion or war form the Russians per generation.

In addition Hitlers invasion was fought with the utmost brutality and lawlessness: He left millions of Russian prisoners of war starve without shelter, he chased innocent civilian girls and woman to abuse them in hundreds of military brothels for officers and soldiers, only to shoot them after some weeks (thats why there are no complaints by comfort woman like in Korea). These events will be engraved in the Russian memory for generations and cause a deep suspicion of any hypocritical declarations of the West about "humanity" or "human rights". Russians expect their leader to protect them from such calamities. As long as he does that will be content to submit and to sacrifice everything for the common good. And they like to have a cordon of satellite or neutral states around them.

In addition Russia is an essentially lawless civilisation, without separation of state and religion (may it be orthodox or communist), without separation of powers, obeying the to the laws of the stronger and of corruption and the supreme will of the Czar (may it be Alexander, Lenin, Stalin, or Putin). Russia will not believe in or not keep any promises.

Now enter the EU, where the dominant member is Germany, and which can be viewed as the continuation of the project of German domination of Europe e.g. in Greece. The European court has no democratic legitimation and clear roots in Nazi-jurisdiction. On can forgive Russians for being suspicious.

Then enter NATO: A so-called defensive alliance commanded by he same Washington which wants to "contain" Russia, whatever that means. Its not lost on Russia that the strongest European member of NATO is the same Germany that had attacked them so brutally two generations ago. And its not lost on them that NATO had left its defensive stance by attacking their orthodox brothers in Serbia in the Jugoslawian war and that NATO member participated in some form in the aggression against some unfortunate dictators who had renounced to atomic bombs (Saddam, Ghadaffi). Russia will not believe that NATO is purely defensive.

Kiev is the founding capital and Ukraine is heartland of Russia. In this sense for Russians the Ukrainian situation is civil unrest within Russia.

While they could just tolerate that Poland and Romania entered NATO, Tim Marshall as well as even some of the best and most experienced US-American diplomatic experts warned that talk and steps about incorporating Ukraine into NATO would be a cause for war.

It was stupidity of the Americans and the Biden administration not to hear these warnings.

I also read Caulincourts report "En traineau avec l'empereur" a protocol of his conversations with Napoleon during the two weeks he spent with him during the flight from Russia to Paris. Might be worthwhile to remember what Napoleon said to Caulaincourt about the Russians: "Le les bats toujours et cela ne termine rien", "I beat them all the time and this finishes nothing". Semmes the same now,

And why all this territorial aggression? Probably Testosterone programming the male mind do defend and expand its territory. Must have some significance for Darwinian selection.

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Chris Bystroff's avatar

It should be remembered that Russia was founded by raiders and pirates. The "Rus", those who row, came down from the North, an extension of the Vikings. In Russian history and you find characters stranger than fiction, including Ivan the Terrible who roasted people alive in a specially designed frying pan. Stalin wanted Tolstoy to explain the necessity of cruelty. Putin carries on the tradition of killing those who challenge him, sometimes with poison. Alas poor Mother Russia, your children are monsters!

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