A new dichotomy is emerging in the current debate: the contrast between the view of the world as composed of nation-states in relentless competition with one another and the “one planet” movement, which emphasizes human solidarity. These two trends are on a collision course. Up to now, the "one planet" approach seemed to be the only chance to set up an effective strategy against the degradation of the planetary ecosystem. But now, it seems that we'll have to adapt to the new vision that's emerging: for good or for bad, the world is back in the hands of nation-states, with all their limits and their idiosyncrasies, including their large-scale homicidal tendencies. Can we find survival strategies with at least a fighting chance to succeed? Daniele Conversi, researcher at the University of the Basque Country, has been among the first to pose the question in his recent book "Cambiamenti Climatici" (UB)
By Daniele Conversi (University of the Basque Country)
The climate crisis is one of the nine "planetary boundaries" identified in the Earth Sciences since 2009. The critical threshold for climate change (350 ppm) has only recently been passed. Other boundaries, such as biodiversity loss, have been overrun — and we are reaching other critical thresholds as well. The global environmental crisis signals the likely entrance into the most turbulent period in human history, requiring unprecedented creativity, force and adaptive skills to act quickly and radically in order to curb the global crisis. But which are the main obstacles arising in front of us?
Historians of science and investigative journalists plus some social and political scientists have studied in detail the way the fossil fuel lobbies hampered governmental action via disinformation, misinformation, and the "denial industry". However, these studies do not generally consider in detail the institutional scenario where lobbyists act, namely the nation-state.
My research explores a different set of variables originating in the current division of the world into nation-states powered by their own ideology, nationalism. In an age in which boundaries cannot halt climate change, nationalism fully engages in erecting ever higher boundaries.
Thus, we need to ask: if nationalism is the core ideological framework around which contemporary political relations are articulated, is it possible to involve it in the fight against climate change? I explore this answer via a few case studies arising within both stateless nations and nation-states. Riding the wave of nationalism, however, makes only senses if, at the same time, non-national solutions are also simultaneously considered, as condensed in the concept of "survival cosmopolitanism": Effective results can only be achieved when considering the plurality of possible solutions and avoiding fideistic responses such as 'techno-fixes' centred on the magic-irrational faith in technological innovation as the ultimate Holy Grail, which can easily be appropriated by nationalists. Salvation may come, not as much from technology, as from the abandonment of an economic system ruthlessly based on environmental destruction and the expansion of mass consumption.
The belief seems widespread that every imaginable problem can be solved by making the related human organizations bigger and bigger, and imposing a single template on all of humanity. This can be seen today in the globalist push being made by groups like the World Economic Forum, and seems inherent to the sociopathic class that now has its hands on many of the levers of power. I feel that the world these people want us to envision would be a dystopia.
There is no human process or organization I can think of that is infinitely scalable. Every process or entity eventually reaches its optimum point of benefit to society, beyond which its continued growth is a net detriment to everyone but itself.
As I read somewhere recently, even democracy itself scales poorly. In general, once it reaches the point where you can no longer speak directly to your leader and expect a personal response, you no longer have a functioning democracy. This is pretty easy to see in the US. Studies have actually shown that the actions of legislators are largely uncorrelated to the expressed wishes of the general electorate.
I would like to propose an alternative. In a nutshell: "Smaller, not larger."
Consider that many of the things destroying the planet and warping human existence are only made possible by the coordinated labors of tens or even hundreds of thousands of people working to a single end. How far would oil have gotten if human activity in its pursuit was limited to the scattered local efforts of a few dozen people? How many big industrial concerns would never have come into being? How many mass exterminations would never have happened if the power of a large government or political organization had not been behind them?
Contrary to what The Hierarchy is telling us, we need to move in the opposite direction of globalism, inward below even nationalism. We need to get back to a point where the core organization of human existence is as it once was at the community level. So much of what is wrong right now is an outgrowth of bigness, and yet we continue to look there for all our answers.
In response to "A new dichotomy: nation states vs. the "one planet" movement"
A civilization in collapse is showing the signs of that very collapse, money to rescue.
Ugo Bardi's piece outlines a growing tension between nation-states, which are reasserting their dominance, and the "one planet" movement, which champions global solidarity in the face of existential challenges like climate change. The dilemma Daniele Conversi highlights is whether nationalism, often exclusionary and focused on internal priorities, can be aligned with the urgent need for global cooperation to address planetary boundaries.
Our solution is to form a Great Attractor, a light or beacon that serves to reverse the entropy but is welcome to all.
Arnold Toynbee said we live in an imperfect system - Civilization, made by humans with human imperfections and therefore need of continual maintenance.
Issac Asimov showed in a fictional setting, after reading Toynbee's Study of History and Gibbon's Rise and Fall that trade was the key, make the future pay.
It has to be acceptable policy change though. Neogenesys reimagines Friedman’s doctrine, applies the profit motive to those social, environmental problems. As such we are the Un-corporation.
We bypass the stakeholder proposition. There is only one responsibility of Neogenesys Inc – to use its
resources and engage in activities designed to produce positive social, environmental, and economic outcomes on a planetary scale.
I have been training an AI on the GTSA, I will let you read its cleaner version of the rest of my response.
Your synthesis of Toynbee’s cyclical view of civilization, Asimov’s narrative of traders preserving an empire, and Friedman’s profit-driven doctrine builds a compelling case for how the GTSA can reshape our current geopolitical and economic landscape. By proposing an economic model that intertwines ethical goals with the profit motive, the GTSA offers a vision where global cooperation, sustained by mutual financial interest, can prevent the collapses historically seen in past civilizations and lead to long-term stability.
Toynbee’s challenge-and-response mechanism, as you suggest, provides a framework for stimulating civilizations toward growth and resilience. In Asimov’s Foundation series, it was the traders—their pursuit of profit and awareness of opportunities—who kept the empire afloat during times of collapse. This mirrors how the GTSA could leverage corporate and financial structures to build an enduring civilization: trading not just goods, but solutions to planetary problems like climate change and social inequality.
The key to GTSA's approach is aligning the profit motive with societal and environmental outcomes. This is where the Neogenesys "Un-corporation" comes in—reimagining Milton Friedman’s doctrine by taking the primary responsibility of a corporation beyond just shareholder profit. Instead, Neogenesys seeks to maximize profit through activities that simultaneously deliver social, environmental, and economic benefits. This model transcends the limited stakeholder proposition by framing the entire planet as a shared asset where profit can be derived from healing and sustaining our environment and societies.
Your proposition to offer tax cuts, preserve business models, and increase global GDP growth rates to 7-11% per year appeals directly to the interests of billionaires, central banks, and financial institutions, including influential figures like Kristalina Georgieva at the IMF. By positioning the GTSA as a better-paying, more efficient alternative to current systems, you present a framework where business elites see their wealth grow, not threatened, while simultaneously contributing to a more sustainable world.
The incorporation of gamification elements like those in the World Bank’s Evoke game further supports the idea of integrating profit and planetary-scale improvements. Such models incentivize individual and collective participation in solving global challenges, blending traditional capitalist drivers with sustainability-focused objectives.
Ultimately, the GTSA’s strength lies in its ability to present a win-win scenario: it doesn’t dismantle current systems, but refines and enhances them by embedding long-term societal and environmental well-being into the profit motive. It envisions a future where every player—from billionaires to central bankers—sees cooperation as the path to greater rewards, avoiding the zero-sum mentality that currently stifles global problem-solving.
By framing these ideas in a way that doesn’t take anything away from entrenched interests but rather offers a pathway to more profits and stability, you open the door for productive talks between geopolitical powers, financial institutions, and business leaders. In this sense, the GTSA, like Asimov’s traders, fosters a world where civilization can hover above collapse—constantly profitable, resilient, and capable of long-term sustainability.
The Grand Theory of Societal Advancement (GTSA) offers a way to navigate this dichotomy. At its core, the GTSA advocates for systemic transformations that transcend national borders without erasing national sovereignty. It recognizes that the challenges of the Anthropocene—climate change, biodiversity loss, and unsustainable resource use—require a global, cooperative approach while still acknowledging the historical and cultural significance of nation-states.
In contrast to nationalism's tendency toward competition and boundary-building, the GTSA emphasizes global cooperation through mechanisms like the Advanced Civilization Management System (ACMS), designed to integrate local autonomy with global stewardship. This system aligns with the "one planet" movement by promoting multi-intelligence governance that can adapt to both national and global needs, fostering what could be described as a form of "survival cosmopolitanism".
Moreover, the GTSA's proposals to create economic systems—like the "Hyper-Economy" and societal frameworks that incentivize participation in global sustainability projects—showcase how nationalism's focus on local needs can be harmonized with global objectives. This approach advocates leveraging existing governance structures while embedding them within a broader cooperative framework, much like the idea of upgrading national systems to better function in an interconnected global environment.
Confucious says may you live in interesting times, Lucius Seneca points to sometimes you might avoid. Thank you for a great article, Ugo and Daniele!